Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Coria

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.6
	1.67	3.4	4.9
	1.66	3.2	5
	1.69	3.28	5.5
	1.74	3.32	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)	3.29 ↑ (3.18)	4.97 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
53.9%

Draw
27.7%

Coria
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

18.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mérida AD - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 8).

Mérida AD is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Coria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Numancia - Mérida AD	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.10.21	Cadiz CF B - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
26.09.21	Mérida AD - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
19.09.21	Vélez - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTTT
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.10.21	Coria - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Cacereño - Coria	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Coria - Córdoba	0:3 ✺
12.09.21	San Roque de Lepe - Coria	1:2 ✺
04.09.21	Coria - Antequera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.08.21	Mérida AD - Coria	0:0
07.10.20	Coria - Mérida AD	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.04.19	Mérida AD - Coria	1:1

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