Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Cacereño		Coria

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.88	3	3.9
	1.93	3.05	3.95
	1.91	3.05	4.4
	1.87	3.15	4.22	Watch
	1.81	3.54	4.07
	1.93	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.51)	3.15 ↓ (4.05)	4.04 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
48.5%

Draw
29%

Coria
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.7%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cacereño's form might have worsened.

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cacereño - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Alvaro Merencio ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
88', 2 - 0, Bragado A. (Own goal),
90+1', Piochi V. 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 0, Clausi A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Cacereño is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 3.

Cacereño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Coria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.04.25	Illescas - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Cacereño - Conquense	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Real Madrid C - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTW
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.04.25	Coria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	CD Guadalajara - Coria	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Coria - Melilla	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Coria - Cacereño	1:1
30.04.23	Coria - Cacereño	0:1
11.01.23	Cacereño - Coria	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.02.22	Coria - Cacereño	1:3
26.09.21	Cacereño - Coria	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.05.21	Cacereño - Coria	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
19.07.20	Coria - Cacereño	0:1

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