Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Mérida AD		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.7	2.85	2.5
	2.8	3	2.55
	2.77	2.94	2.66
	2.75	2.95	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3.02	2.56
	2.8	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.15)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	2.55 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
33.3%

Draw
30.9%

Ibiza
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

30.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mérida AD - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mérida AD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.09.24	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.24	Zamora - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWTW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.09.24	Ibiza - Hércules	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ibiza - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Barcelona B - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.24	Ibiza - Mérida AD	0:0
05.11.23	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:2

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