Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Mérida AD		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.6	2.8	2.65
	2.75	2.95	2.65	Watch
	2.83	2.82	2.81
	2.83	2.82	2.81
	2.45	3	2.45
	2.65	3.06	2.65
	2.6	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
34.4%

Draw
31.1%

San Fernando
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Mérida AD - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 22. Bourdal T. 4. Bonaque M. 3. Prada R. 6. Gutierrez I. 8. Ndongo N. 7. Sandoval D. 14. Beneit R. 18. Padilla J. 9. Chuma	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 15. Ruiz V. 23. Ramirez J. 19. Martinez P. 10. Ramos D. 6. Molina D. 21. Arroyo N. 11. Aquino D. 17. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
26. Dabo Gnako Y. 11. Escardo A. 36. Luigi 10. Mukai A. 29. Prevedini M. 23. Rodriguez D. 27. Sainz J. 13. Vicente D. (G)	13. Arana E. (G) 7. Biabiany J. 25. Davila Y. 14. Fullana F. 16. Leon C. 18. Naveira U. 9. Ribeiro 3. Ruiz L. 12. Selma D.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 3.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Atlético Baleares - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Córdoba - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.11.23	San Fernando - Antequera	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Recreativo Huelva - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	San Fernando - Castellón	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Linares Deportivo - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	San Fernando - Granada B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:1
23.10.22	San Fernando - Mérida AD	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.12.19	Mérida AD - San Fernando	1:1
14.01.18	San Fernando - Mérida AD	1:0
27.08.17	Mérida AD - San Fernando	2:1
05.02.17	Mérida AD - San Fernando	3:0
18.09.16	San Fernando - Mérida AD	2:0

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