The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 34.3%
Draw 30.6%
Real Murcia 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
30%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
29.8%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.
Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mérida AD - Real Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 22. Athuman I. 18. Falcon E. 3. Jimenez N. 14. Beltran L. 28. del Cerro S. 21. Beneit R. 11. Doncel C. 8. Eslava J. 7. Alvaro J.
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 6. Gonzalez A. 4. Saveljich E. 28. Galindo S. 10. Gomez I. 30. Palmberg 22. Juan Carlos 20. Davo 9. Benito P. A. P. 12. Alcania R.
Substitutes
4. Bonaque M. 24. Carvalho M. 17. Ganet P. 26. Macia I. (G) 6. Miki 9. Mizzian M. 20. Nabian H. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 16. Sanchez E. 13. Vicente D. (G)
16. Boateng R. 23. Bosilj D. 7. Buron L. 21. Cadete 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 29. Matheus Cadorini 13. Piedra I. (G) 17. Rojas C. 19. Soler K. 27. Toral A. 18. Vicente D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Benito P. A. P. 🟨,
37', Alvaro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Alcania R. ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Forns I. ⚽,
59', Alvaro J. ↓, Miki ↑,
59', del Cerro S. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
63', Gomez I. ↓, Boateng R. ↑,
66', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
66', Davo ↓, Soler K. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Beltran L. ⚽,
72', Mier J. ↓, Vicente D. ↑,
77', Doncel C. ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Bosilj D. (Pen),
88', Beneit R. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
88', Falcon E. ↓, Pareja Alvarez L. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Soler K. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.4:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.2:0.6).
Spain
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Juanpa (G) 
Athuman I. 
Gazzaniga G. (G) 
Saveljich E. 
Palmberg 
Ganet P. 
Mizzian M. 
Nabian H. 
Boateng R. 
Bosilj D. 
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