Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	México		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.1	1.62
	5.6	3.15	1.66
	6.52	2.82	1.68
	5.82	2.99	1.72
	5.81	3.04	1.76
	5.6	3.15	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.81 ↓ (6.48)	3.04 ↓ (4.18)	1.68 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
15.7%

Draw
30%

Alcalá
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

21.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.3%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

México - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Portero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 2, Izan ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.01.25	Rayo Vallecano B - México	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	México - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	México - Tres Cantos	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Carabanchel - México	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	México - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.01.25	Alcalá - Parla	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Las Rozas - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.24	Alcalá - Canillas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.09.24	Alcalá - México	1:0

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