Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	México		El Álamo

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.1
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.1	3.18	2.98
	2.08	3.31	3.26	Watch
	1.58	3.78	4.97
	2.05	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.57)	3.35 ↓ (3.79)	3.47 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
46.3%

Draw
27.3%

El Álamo
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that México's form might have worsened.

El Álamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Álamo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for México, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Álamo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Álamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

México - El Álamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Maganto I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Zamorano G. (Pen),
90', 2 - 1, Maganto I. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

México is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches El Álamo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

México could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

México will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.12.24	Collado Villalba - México	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	México - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Trival Valderas - México	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	México - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	México - Cala Pozuelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WTWWT
- CD El Álamo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.24	El Álamo - Parla	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Villaverde San Andrés - El Álamo	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	El Álamo - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Canillas - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	El Álamo - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTLL

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