Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Illescas

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.29	2.95	3.1
	2.29	3.09	3.28
	2.24	3.03	3.22	Watch
	2.31	3.02	3.14
	2.29	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.92)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)	3.12 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
40.1%

Draw
30.6%

Illescas
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

31.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

31.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illescas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Gomez C. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.24	Conquense - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Móstoles URJC - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Illescas - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Navalcarnero - Illescas	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Illescas - Coria	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Illescas - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Conquense - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWWL

Móstoles URJC - Illescas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide