Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.1
	1.87	3	4
	1.88	3.05	4.1
	1.9	3.02	4.63
	1.99	3.03	3.91	Watch
	1.84	3.13	4.58
	1.88	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.66)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	4.2 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
48.4%

Draw
30%

Illescas
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

28.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

26.7%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Navalcarnero - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Claverias A. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Gomez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Navalcarnero - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLWW
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.24	Illescas - Coria	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Illescas - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Conquense - Illescas	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Illescas - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Illescas - Navalcarnero	2:0
08.10.23	Navalcarnero - Illescas	2:2

Upcoming Matches