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Current Win Probability
Manchego 58.7%
Draw 26.3%
Illescas 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
25.7%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
24.5%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Illescas aligns with the current prediction.
Manchego - Illescas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
In recent matches, Manchego has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Illescas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Manchego is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Watch
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