Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 2

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.85
	2.3	3.04	2.99
	2.32	3.05	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
39.4%

Draw
29.8%

Unión Adarve
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Carrasco ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Ogando J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 3, Ogando J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 1.

Unión Adarve may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.09.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.08.25	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Talavera de la Reina - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Móstoles URJC - CD Guadalajara	4:2 ✺
19.04.25	Melilla - Móstoles URJC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLWL
- AD Unión Adarve
Club Friendly
31.08.25	Unión Adarve - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Unión Adarve - Coria	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Illescas - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Unión Adarve - Conquense	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	1:0
15.09.24	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.04.22	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	0:0
21.11.21	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.05.21	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	1:0
11.04.21	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	1:0

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