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Current Win Probability
ML Vitebsk 84.8%
Draw 11.5%
Belshina 3.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
28.2%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
27.6%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ML Vitebsk's performance.
Belshina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belshina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-34.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belshina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ML Vitebsk - Belshina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 4. Abdullahi O. 23. Balanovich S. (C) 10. Cleonise D. 9. Diabate B. 8. Gnaka S. 6. Gomanov K. 55. Gromyko V. 80. Kontsevoy A. 41. Moskalenchik I. 20. Volkov Z.
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 11. Aboghe S. 21. Golub N. 77. Kovalev V. 10. Kozlov Y. 6. Lazarev D. 8. Rusenchik V. 9. Shvedchikov A. 4. Solanovich V. (C) 17. Vikhrov I. 78. Yakushevich G.
Substitutes
3. Baranok N. 15. Bocherov V. 12. Bosic R. 99. Bulanov M. 7. Ivanov T. 46. Kotau D. (G) 27. Mesarovic A. 5. Mohammadi M. 22. Skibskiy Y. 18. Zhuk V.
7. Achapovskiy A. 23. Bolotnikov V. 14. Davydov V. 3. Kuchinskiy A. 15. Malykh K. 18. Nekrasov N. 54. Patsenko N. (G) 5. Seleznev P. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 27. Zgurskiy L.
Coaches
Sokolinsky F.
Volodko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Kovalev V. 🟨,
22', Yakushevich G. 🟨,
24', Kovalev V. ↓, Davydov V. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Diabate B. ⚽, Kontsevoy A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gromyko V. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
46', Kozlov Y. ↓, Seleznev P. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Shvedchikov A. ⚽, Golub N. (A),
63', Cleonise D. ↓, Bosic R. ↑,
63', Gnaka S. ↓, Mesarovic A. ↑,
64', Balanovich S. ↓, Zhuk V. ↑,
64', Shvedchikov A. ↓, Achapovskiy A. ↑,
64', Golub N. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
71', Solanovich V. ↓, Sokolovskiy N. ↑,
80', Diabate B. ↓, Bulanov M. ↑,
85', Zhuk V. 🟨,
90+4', Mesarovic A. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
Recent performances by ML Vitebsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Belshina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Belshina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, ML Vitebsk is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ML Vitebsk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, ML Vitebsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
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Shcherbachenya P. (G) 
Abdullahi O. 
Cleonise D. 
Diabate B. 
Gnaka S. 
Aboghe S. 
Golub N. 
Bosic R. 
Mohammadi M. 
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