The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belshina 38.4%
Draw 27.7%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.6%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
28.1%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belshina's performance.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belshina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Belshina - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 17. Vikhrov I. 78. Yakushevich G. 6. Lazarev D. 4. Solanovich V. (C) 5. Seleznev P. 8. Rusenchik V. 10. Kozlov Y. 14. Davydov V. 21. Golub N. 7. Achapovskiy A.
1. Sanko I. (G) 41. Lutik D. 23. Polyakov D. (C) 4. Akunets E. 13. Oreshkevich I. 10. Sazonchik S. 79. Badoev K. 18. Volskiy D. 71. Matveev M. 33. Gorbachik V. 90. Antilevskiy D.
Substitutes
11. Aboghe S. 66. Balotnikau K. 77. Kovalev V. 3. Kuchinskiy A. 15. Malykh K. 18. Nekrasov N. 54. Patsenko N. (G) 9. Shvedchikov A. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 27. Zgurskiy L.
2. Bozhko E. 77. Sotnikov N. 11. Tsallagov D. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 19. Veretennikov A. 31. Zaleskiy A.
Coaches
Volodko A.
Voronkov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Achapovskiy A. ⚽, Golub N. (A),
38', Oreshkevich I. ↓, Bozhko E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Kozlov Y. ↓, Aboghe S. ↑,
69', Achapovskiy A. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
69', Golub N. ↓, Shvedchikov A. ↑,
72', Lutik D. ↓, Tsallagov D. ↑,
76', Badoev K. ↓, Zaleskiy A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Shvedchikov A. ⚽, Davydov V. (A),
87', Volskiy D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belshina won 1.
Recent performances by Belshina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belshina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Belshina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Belarus
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Prishivalko P. (G) 
Lazarev D. 
Aboghe S. 
Voronkov I. 
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