Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 18

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vitebsk CSK (Vitebsk)


	ML Vitebsk		Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	9.00
	1.21	6.35	11.82
	1.18	6.25	11
	1.26	5.68	10.4
	1.22	5.5	10.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	5.81 ↑ (5.3)	10.59 ↑ (9.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ML Vitebsk
75.4%

Draw
15.9%

Baranovichi
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

17.8%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

15.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Baranovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

ML Vitebsk - Baranovichi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ML Vitebsk will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Baranovichi will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 15. Bocherov V. 12. Bosic R. 9. Diabate B. 6. Gomanov K. 55. Gromyko V. 7. Ivanov T. 27. Mesarovic A. 5. Mohammadi M. 20. Volkov Z.	12. Shapko D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 22. Bondarenko M. 19. Bruy A. 5. Fedotov V. 88. Gitselev Z. 9. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 96. Potorocha V. 97. Tkachev T. 23. Vasilenko V.
Substitutes
4. Abdullahi O. 3. Baranok N. 99. Bulanov M. 10. Cleonise D. 8. Gnaka S. 90. Grudko I. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y. 18. Zhuk V.	4. Karpenya V. 29. Penchuk S. 34. Petrenko A. 7. Pukhov T. 11. Ryabykh N. 17. Shevchenko M. 26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 45. Torekul E. 6. Tuzakbaev A.
Coaches
Sokolinsky F.	Kirenkin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Diabate B. ⚽, Bosic R. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Volkov Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bosic R. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
46', Mesarovic A. ↓, Abdullahi O. ↑,
46', Tkachev T. ↓, Ryabykh N. ↑,
60', Ivanov T. ↓, Skibskiy Y. ↑,
62', Potorocha V. ↓, Petrenko A. ↑,
62', Bondarenko M. ↓, Torekul E. ↑,
62', Lapun E. ↓, Karpenya V. ↑,
67', Balanovich S. ↓, Zhuk V. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).

ML Vitebsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baranovichi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ML Vitebsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, ML Vitebsk is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ML Vitebsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 3.6:1).

Including home match between the teams, ML Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

ML Vitebsk: 42.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42:17	25	44
11	Baranovici	23	6	7	10	24:38	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ML Vitebsk
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	ML Vitebsk - Borac Banja Luka	2:2 penalties ✺
06.08.26	Borac Banja Luka - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Sutjeska - ML Vitebsk	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	ML Vitebsk - Sutjeska	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL
- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.08.26	Baranovichi - BATE Borisov	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Baranovichi - Isloch Minsk	3:4 ✺
Belarusian Cup
25.07.26	Isloch Minsk - Baranovichi	1:2 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Baranovichi	1:4 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.07.26	Baranovichi - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.04.26	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	0:4
Belarusian Cup
13.07.25	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	1:2 ET
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.10.24	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	2:4
25.11.23	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	2:3
04.08.23	ML Vitebsk - Baranovichi	5:0

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