Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 5

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Vitebsk CSK (Vitebsk)

Referee: Shiyan N. (Blr)


	ML Vitebsk		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.8	8.25
	1.2	5.77	12.98
	1.3	4.6	9.5
	1.22	6.25	14
	1.26	4.9	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)	5.26 ↑ (5)	10.95 ↓ (11.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ML Vitebsk
74%

Draw
17.6%

Smorgon
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

19%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Vitebsk - Smorgon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 3. Baranok N. 20. Volkov Z. 18. Zhuk V. 14. Lisakovich R. 17. Galyata D. 2. Nosko A. 70. Juninho 33. Rafael Reis 21. Glushkov N.	19. Azarko M. (G) 27. Tishko A. 26. Bini K. 5. Firsov A. 20. Tonkevich V. 7. Levkovets A. (C) 63. Rakhimov A. 6. Doumbia S. 11. Slesarchuk D. 2. Bamba M. 23. Stankevich A.
Substitutes
4. Abdullahi O. 88. Bozhko E. 19. Bruy A. 5. Chuduk A. 77. Gomis H. 15. Kozlovskiy D. 80. Ovsyannikov D. 7. Pukhov T. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 13. Zaleskiy A.	77. Bogdanovich I. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 3. Intsoen C. 1. Koltygin A. (G) 8. Maslovskiy V. 17. Mychelkin E. 10. Sodikov S. 78. Yablonskiy M.
Coaches
Shagoyko A.	Slesarchuk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Glushkov N. ⚽, Juninho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bini K. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
46', Rakhimov A. ↓, Mychelkin E. ↑,
46', Firsov A. ↓, Bogdanovich I. ↑,
54', Volkov Z. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Baranok N. ⚽, Glushkov N. (A),
61', Rafael Reis ↓, Kozlovskiy D. ↑,
61', Lisakovich R. ↓, Pukhov T. ↑,
66', Volkov Z. ↓, Zaleskiy A. ↑,
66', Doumbia S. ↓, Maslovskiy V. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Kozlovskiy D. (Pen),
71', Slesarchuk D. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
76', Balanovich S. ↓, Ovsyannikov D. ↑,
76', Glushkov N. ↓, Bozhko E. ↑,
83', Tishko A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Tonkevich V. ⚽, Mychelkin E. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

ML Vitebsk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smorgon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently ML Vitebsk have a series of guest games.

In this match ML Vitebsk is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ML Vitebsk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Cup
16.04.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - ML Vitebsk	0:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
12.04.25	Naftan - ML Vitebsk	0:3 ✺
04.04.25	Dinamo Brest - ML Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	ML Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Slutsk - ML Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTW
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
13.04.25	Dinamo Brest - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Slutsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
03.07.22	Smorgon - ML Vitebsk	3:1

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