The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ML Vitebsk 84.8%
Draw 10.9%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71%
16%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76%
14.9%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ML Vitebsk's performance.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ML Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 20. Volkov Z. 6. Gomanov K. 45. Moskalenchik I. 55. Gromyko V. 8. Gnaka S. 27. Mesarovic A. 10. Cleonise D. 9. Diabate B. 12. Bosic R.
16. Vaschenko A. (G) 31. Zaleskiy A. (C) 41. Lutik D. 71. Matveev M. 69. Ermolin R. 79. Badoev K. 77. Sotnikov N. 11. Tsallagov D. 4. Akunets E. 33. Gorbachik V. 90. Antilevskiy D.
Substitutes
4. Abdullahi O. 3. Baranok N. 15. Bocherov V. 7. Ivanov T. 80. Kontsevoy A. 5. Mohammadi M. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y.
8. Kaplenko N. 13. Oreshkevich I. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 30. Soroko A. (G) 9. Vasin I. 19. Veretennikov A. 18. Volskiy D.
Coaches
Alekseev S.
Voronkov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Antilevskiy D. ⚽, Tsallagov D. (A),
45+5', 1 - 1, Gromyko V. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
45+5', Antilevskiy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Antilevskiy D. 🟨,
56', Ermolin R. ↓, Volskiy D. ↑,
56', Sotnikov N. ↓, Kaplenko N. ↑,
57', Badoev K. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Bosic R. ⚽, Moskalenchik I. (A),
66', Gorbachik V. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Mesarovic A. ⚽, Cleonise D. (A),
76', 4 - 1, Gromyko V. ⚽,
78', Moskalenchik I. ↓, Mohammadi M. ↑,
78', Badoev K. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
82', 5 - 1, Bosic R. ⚽, Skibskiy Y. (A),
83', Bosic R. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
83', Gnaka S. ↓, Abdullahi O. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12th).
In recent outings, ML Vitebsk has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The betting markets point to ML Vitebsk as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, ML Vitebsk has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:5 (averaging 3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ML Vitebsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).
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Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 
Gnaka S. 
Mesarovic A. 
Cleonise D. 
Diabate B. 
Matveev M. 
Abdullahi O. 
Mohammadi M. 
Voronkov I. 
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