Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 17

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	MOIK Baku		Qaradağ Lökbatan

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.35	3.32	2.5
	2.2	3.4	2.8
	1.88	3.59	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOIK Baku
42.8%

Draw
26.7%

Qaradağ Lökbatan
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Qaradağ Lökbatan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qaradağ Lökbatan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan Predictions

Users Predictions: MOIK Baku will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Abdullayev A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Aliyev I. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Abdullayev A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 2, Qurbanly N. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches MOIK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qaradağ is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

MOIK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently MOIK have a series of home games.

MOIK will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches MOIK won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams MOIK won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
28.02.25	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	MOIK Baku - Gabala	0:4 ✺
13.02.25	Karvan - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
06.02.25	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
30.01.25	MOIK Baku - İmişli	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWW
- Qaradağ Lökbatan
Azerbaijan First Division
28.02.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
20.02.25	Difai Ağsu - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Baku Sporting - Qaradağ Lökbatan	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Mingachevir - Qaradağ Lökbatan	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Cəbrayıl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
11.12.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	3:0
25.04.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	1:1
21.02.24	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2
02.11.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	1:1
09.05.23	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0

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