Match Info

I Liqa - Round 22

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Baku Sporting		Qaradağ Lökbatan

	1	X	2
	2.47	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.29	3.17	2.54
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.49	3.1	2.59
	2.47	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.12)	3.07 ↑ (2.9)	2.79 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baku Sporting
38.2%

Draw
29.4%

Qaradağ Lökbatan
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Qaradağ Lökbatan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qaradağ Lökbatan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baku Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qaradağ Lökbatan than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qaradağ Lökbatan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Baku Sporting - Qaradağ Lökbatan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Haziyev B. ⚽,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sporting will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
10.04.25	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	6:1 ✺
04.04.25	Baku Sporting - Gabala	0:5 ✺
27.03.25	Karvan - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
12.03.25	Baku Sporting - İmişli	2:2 ✺
06.03.25	Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTW
- Qaradağ Lökbatan
Azerbaijan First Division
10.04.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir	0:0 ✺
03.04.25	Cəbrayıl - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0 ✺
27.03.25	Zagatala - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0 ✺
13.03.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
14.02.25	Baku Sporting - Qaradağ Lökbatan	3:2
25.10.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Baku Sporting	2:3

Baku Sporting - Qaradağ Lökbatan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide