Match Info

I Liqa - Round 2

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	MOIK Baku		Shimal

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.90	4.80
	1.60	3.96	3.72
	1.59	4.18	4.35	Watch
	1.57	3.95	3.65
	1.59	4.05	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.47)	4.01 ↓ (4.3)	4.2 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOIK Baku
56.6%

Draw
22.2%

Shimal
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MOIK Baku's form might have worsened.

Shimal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

MOIK Baku - Shimal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Osmanov N. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Merdanov Z. ⚽,

Preview

MOIK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, MOIK is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, MOIK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	MOIK Baku	3	1	1	1	3:2	1	4
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
03.09.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	4:0 ✺
15.05.26	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLTL
- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
04.09.26	Shimal - Cəbrayıl	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Cəbrayıl - Shimal	2:3 ✺
14.05.26	Shimal - Difai Ağsu	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Şəfa - Shimal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
06.05.26	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1
10.12.25	MOIK Baku - Shimal	2:0
19.09.25	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1

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