Match Info

I Liqa - Round 26

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Mingachevir		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.75	4.45	Watch
	1.62	3.78	4.64	Watch
	1.58	3.82	4.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	3.78 ↓ (3.8)	4.64 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
56.6%

Draw
23.9%

MOIK Baku
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bayramov F. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Abba U. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Kalunga K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Kalunga K. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 3 - 1, Akuqe C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 5.

In recent matches, Mingachevir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

MOIK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mingachevir is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	MOIK Baku	3	1	1	1	3:2	1	4
8	Mingachevir	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
05.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	7:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
06.05.26	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Şəfa - MOIK Baku	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
25.02.26	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	2:0
20.11.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	0:3
16.05.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	1:3
14.03.25	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	1:0
13.09.24	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	1:2
17.04.24	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	3:1
14.02.24	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	0:1

Upcoming Matches