Match Info

I Liqa - Round 25

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Shimal		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.55	3.9	1.55	Watch
	1.65	3.15	5.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (4.55)	3.53 ↓ (3.9)	3.7 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimal
36.8%

Draw
32.4%

MOIK Baku
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

22.9%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.7%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shimal's performance.

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOIK Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+26.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOIK Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Ange Gla D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, Faracov S. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, MOIK is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	MOIK Baku	3	1	1	1	3:2	1	4
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
29.04.26	Şəfa - Shimal	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Shimal - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Səbail - Shimal	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.2 TWLLW
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
29.04.26	MOIK Baku - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Şəfa - MOIK Baku	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
10.12.25	MOIK Baku - Shimal	2:0
19.09.25	Shimal - MOIK Baku	1:1

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