Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 17

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	MS Tira		Tzeirey Um El Fahem

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.85	4.25
	1.64	3.75	4.34
	1.65	3.96	4.29	Watch
	1.64	3.68	4.58
	1.62	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.76)	3.81 ↑ (3.71)	4.36 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Tira
55.4%

Draw
23.8%

Tzeirey Um El Fahem
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Tira than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirey Um El Fahem than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

MS Tira - Tzeirey Um El Fahem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+17', 0 - 1, Lebanon T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Yishai I. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 7).

Tira is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tzeirey Um El Fahem is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tzeirey Um El Fahem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tira is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tira won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tira won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	MS Tira	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11
18	Tzeirey Um El Fahem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Tira
Israeli Liga Alef North
20.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - MS Tira	1:6 ✺
16.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - MS Tira	0:3 ✺
06.01.26	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:1 ✺
31.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - MS Tira	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTW
- Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Israeli Liga Alef North
16.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:3 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
12.09.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - MS Tira	1:0
22.11.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - MS Tira	1:1
22.02.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - MS Tira	2:2
13.09.23	MS Tira - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:2

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