Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 22

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Maardu linnastaadion (Maardu)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Maardu Linnameeskond		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.75	1.88
	3.75	3.90	1.63
	2.98	3.89	1.91
	2.90	3.65	1.87
	3.16	3.78	1.92
	3.20	3.80	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.87)	3.8 ↓ (4)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maardu Linnameeskond
28.1%

Draw
23.5%

Viimsi JK
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

22.4%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

20.4%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viimsi JK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Maardu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Tsombaljuk S. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Vaherna M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Laidvee R. 🟥,
54', 1 - 2, Vaherna M. ⚽, Ollik O. (A),

Preview

Maardu Linnameeskond is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Viimsi JK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maardu Linnameeskond may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Viimsi JK is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Maardu Linnameeskond won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56:31	25	53
10	Maardu	36	12	5	19	45:59	-14	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
01.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
13.07.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco	1:8 ✺
09.07.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Flora U21	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWT
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
03.08.26	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Nõmme United U21 - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
16.07.26	Viimsi JK - Elva	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:2 ✺
02.07.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
22.06.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	1:0
26.04.26	Viimsi JK - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:1
Estonian Cup
11.08.20	Viimsi JK - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ET

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