Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 24Date: 20 August 2026, ThursdayLocation: Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Tartu Welco |
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Levadia Tallinn U21 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.47 |
4.60 |
4.50 |
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1.33 |
5.15 |
5.7 |
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1.39 |
5.39 |
5.48 |
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1.36 |
5.59 |
5.57 |
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1.32 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
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1.4 |
5.63 |
5.63 |
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1.34 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.35) |
5.27 ↑
(4.6) |
5.41 ↓
(5.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tartu Welco
66% | Draw
17.2% | Levadia Tallinn U21
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)The ML Model estimate for Tartu Welco aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.75 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, Laasner K. ⚽, Malki U. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, Malki U. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 1, Rodionov F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 2, Kompus A. ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 2, Mugra M. ⚽,
- 76', 4 - 2, Roots R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 3.Recent performances by Tartu Welco have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Levadia U21 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Tartu Welco is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:38. (average 1.6:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Welco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.8:1.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 81:39 | 42 | 65 |
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| 5 | Levadia U21 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 60:55 | 5 | 44 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 18.06.26 | Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco | 1:3 | | 17.04.26 | Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3:2 | | 27.09.25 | Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco | 1:1 | | 12.07.25 | Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3:0 | | 29.05.25 | Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco | 3:3 | | 20.04.25 | Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1:0 | | 19.09.24 | Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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