Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Maardu Linnameeskond		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.9	2.15
	2.9	3.6	2.04
	3.08	3.82	2.13
	2.5	3.4	2.35
	2.74	4	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.59)	3.74 ↓ (4)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maardu Linnameeskond
33.2%

Draw
24.3%

Pärnu Vaprus
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

22.6%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

17.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maardu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maardu Linnameeskond that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maardu Linnameeskond won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Maardu Linnameeskond won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
25.11.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Flora U21	3:5 ✺
05.11.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United	0:2 ✺
01.11.20	Elva - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
28.10.20	Eston Villa - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLWW
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
25.11.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United	4:1 ✺
21.11.20	Elva - Pärnu Vaprus	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora U21	0:3 ✺
30.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka U21	4:0 ✺
22.10.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
26.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0
16.07.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:2
18.06.20	Maardu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1
Club Friendly
02.02.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:0

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