Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Pärnu Linnameeskond		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.1	1.62
	4	4	1.6
	4	4	1.63
	4.42	3.96	1.7
	3.8	3.9	1.67
	3.86	4.34	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.22)	4.05 ↑ (4)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Linnameeskond
22.7%

Draw
22.4%

Pärnu Vaprus
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

22.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

19.1%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Linnameeskond's form might have worsened.

Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Pärnu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Pärnu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pärnu Vaprus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Pärnu Vaprus is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
17.10.20	Nõmme United - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:1 ✺
15.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Pärnu Linnameeskond	Canceled
11.10.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Flora U21	2:3 ✺
06.10.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:1 ✺
01.10.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Elva	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 T?LTL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
16.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Vändra Vaprus	6:2 ✺
15.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Pärnu Linnameeskond	Canceled
Estonian Cup
08.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	0:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
03.10.20	Flora U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	0:1 ✺
30.09.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
15.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Pärnu Linnameeskond	Canceled
30.07.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1
08.06.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:1

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