Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Elva		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.25	1.62
	3.7	4.25	1.65
	3.65	4.4	1.65
	3.89	4.7	1.73
	3.94	4.33	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (3.97)	4.39 ↑ (4)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elva
24.1%

Draw
20.8%

Pärnu Vaprus
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

22.4%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

14.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elva - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Pärnu Vaprus have a series of home games.

Pärnu Vaprus will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Elva won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Elva won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
07.11.20	Tammeka U21 - Elva	1:3 ✺
01.11.20	Elva - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Elva - Tammeka U21	0:1 ✺
17.10.20	Järve - Elva	2:3 ✺
17.10.20	Elva - Järve	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLW?
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
07.11.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora U21	0:3 ✺
30.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka U21	4:0 ✺
22.10.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1 ✺
16.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Vändra Vaprus	6:2 ✺
15.10.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Pärnu Linnameeskond	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWTW?

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
12.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	6:0
20.08.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	2:1
05.03.20	Elva - Pärnu Vaprus	2:2
19.09.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	0:1
27.07.19	Elva - Pärnu Vaprus	2:0
27.06.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	2:1
20.04.19	Elva - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2

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