Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday


	Macaé		Resende

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.3	1.6
	4.75	3.7	1.62
	5.25	3.3	1.61
	4.7	3.55	1.63
	5.27	3.75	1.69
	5	3.75	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4.48)	3.56 ↑ (3.44)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macaé
18.2%

Draw
25.8%

Resende
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

27.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

21.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macaé than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Resende could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Macaé - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Macaé has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Resende is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Resende is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Macaé won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Macaé won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macaé Esporte
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
06.04.21	Macaé - Fluminense	0:4 ✺
31.03.21	Macaé - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
28.03.21	Portuguesa RJ - Macaé	3:0 ✺
24.03.21	Vasco da Gama - Macaé	3:1 ✺
20.03.21	Volta Redonda - Macaé	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
04.04.21	Resende - Boavista	1:4 ✺
01.04.21	Resende - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
27.03.21	Bangu - Resende	0:0 ✺
23.03.21	Resende - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
19.03.21	Flamengo - Resende	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.03.20	Resende - Macaé	0:1
22.12.18	Resende - Macaé	1:1
13.01.18	Resende - Macaé	0:1
23.03.17	Macaé - Resende	1:2
12.03.16	Macaé - Resende	3:0
25.03.15	Resende - Macaé	2:2
08.03.14	Resende - Macaé	3:2

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