Match Info

Leumit League - Round 10

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Hapoel Kfar Saba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.30	2.50
	2.18	3.35	2.70
	2.42	3.52	2.72
	2.49	3.42	2.66	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.65
	2.38	3.24	2.54
	2.38	3.35	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.34)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	2.62 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
38.4%

Draw
27%

Hapoel Kfar Saba
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

25.8%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hapoel Kfar Saba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Brosh Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
78', 0 - 2, Harel R. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Younes N. A. 🟥,
83', 0 - 3, Buganim R. ⚽,
87', 0 - 4, Yiadom K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 14th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 4.

Maccabi Nazareth has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hapoel Kfar Saba has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Maccabi Nazareth has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:15 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maccabi Nazareth against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	M. Nazareth	10	3	1	6	10:17	-7	10
14	Hapoel Kfar Saba	10	3	0	7	15:24	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Kfar Saba - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.10.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Modiin	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWT
- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Liga Leumit
12.10.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - MS Ashdod	2:4 ✺
01.10.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Bnei Yehuda	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	4:2 ✺
10.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
10.03.23	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2
07.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:3
11.03.22	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1
07.12.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1
25.03.19	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:3
07.12.18	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1
19.02.18	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide