Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 3
Poland	TVP Sport


	Maccabi Haifa		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.55	3.35	1.98	Watch
	3.78	3.51	1.91
	3.57	3.43	2.01	Watch
	3.47	3.47	2.15	Watch
	2.82	3.15	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.77)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	2.07 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Haifa
27.2%

Draw
27.7%

Raków Częstochowa
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.7%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.1%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Haifa's form might have worsened.

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Haifa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Haifa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	23.3%	63.3%

Maccabi Haifa - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Maccabi Haifa will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Raków will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Haifa (votes: 1 - 10%). Raków (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Raków (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Haifa (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Raków (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Yermakov G. (G) 25. Bataille J. 30. Seck A. 24. Eissat L. 3. Goldberg S. 19. Azoulay E. 5. Naor G. 27. Cornud P. 22. Stewart T. 99. Jovanovic D. 8. Haziza D. (C)	1. Trelowski K. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 88. Barath P. 6. Repka O. 26. Otieno E. 19. Ameyaw M. 9. Makuch P. 8. Pienko T.
Substitutes
31. Arazi A. 42. Elimelech R. 40. Kaiuf S. (G) 15. Kassa L. 36. Khalaili I. 18. Melamed G. 4. Mohamed A. 9. Nahuel M. 26. Ohana M. 17. Podgoreanu S. 16. Saief K. 7. Severina X.	11. Adriano 5. Bulat M. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 28. Diaz J. 66. Konstantopoulos A. 39. Madrzyk J. (G) 2. Mosor A. 14. Plavsic S. 17. Rocha L. 23. Struski K. 48. Zych O. (G)
Coaches
Flores D.	Papszun M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Eissat L. 🟨,
41', Haziza D. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Barath P. ⚽, Ameyaw M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Eissat L. 🟨,
57', Flores D. 🟨,
58', Makuch P. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
60', Jovanovic D. ↓, Khalaili I. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Diaby-Fadiga L. (Pen),
78', Haziza D. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
79', Cornud P. ↓, Saief K. ↑,
79', Naor G. ↓, Kassa L. ↑,
85', Azoulay E. 🟨,
85', Pienko T. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
86', Ameyaw M. ↓, Adriano ↑,
88', Bataille J. ↓, Melamed G. ↑,
90+3', Barath P. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
90+10', Goldberg S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg. Neutral location - Nagyerdei Stadion.

Maccabi Haifa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Raków has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maccabi Haifa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Haifa FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Raków Częstochowa - Maccabi Haifa	0:1 ✺
31.07.25	Maccabi Haifa - Torpedo-BelAZ	3:0 ✺
24.07.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
19.07.25	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Győri ETO - Maccabi Haifa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTLW
- Raków Częstochowa
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Raków Częstochowa - Maccabi Haifa	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Žilina - Raków Częstochowa	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.25	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Raków Częstochowa - Žilina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Raków Częstochowa - Maccabi Haifa	0:1

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