Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Kiryat Gat		Dimona

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.7
	1.85	3.46	3.82	Watch
	1.83	3.38	3.86
	1.83	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	3.8 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
49.4%

Draw
26.7%

Dimona
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Dimona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Kiryat Gat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimona than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Dimona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bitton A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Hadad G. ⚽,
15', 2 - 1, Bozaglo H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Gamoun N. 🟥,
77', 3 - 1, Mishali E. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Dimona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kiryat Gat is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kiryat Gat will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kiryat Gat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SC Dimona	5	4	0	1	8:7	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	4:3 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- SC Dimona
Israeli Liga Alef South
11.01.26	Dimona - Holon Yermiyahu	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Dimona	0:2 ✺
31.12.25	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Dimona - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Dimona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.09.25	Dimona - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:5

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