Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 14

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod		Maccabi Kiryat Gat

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.75
	3.5	4.06	1.78	Watch
	4.13	3.56	1.73
	3.5	3.66	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.42)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	1.77 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
24.4%

Draw
24.4%

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Gat Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Malika R. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Shifman E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 1 - 2, Messika R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Recent performances by Maccabi Ironi Ashdod have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kiryat Gat is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kiryat Gat is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Including home match between the teams, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	M. Ironi Ashdod	5	1	3	1	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
31.12.25	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:3 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTWW
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
02.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	4:3 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Beitar Yavne	4:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
28.12.19	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	4:1

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