Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 12

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi		Maccabi Kiryat Gat

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.3	2.05
	2.96	3.2	2.2
	3.28	3.42	2.02	Watch
	2.86	3.64	2.18
	2.9	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.95)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)	2.13 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
30.2%

Draw
27.1%

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.6%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

24.1%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi's performance.

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Kiryat Gat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Kiryat Gat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Kiryat Gat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Portman O. (Own goal),
28', 1 - 1, Ashkenazi R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, Mishali E. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

M Kiryat Malakhi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kiryat Gat is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Kiryat Gat is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.12.25	Dimona - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5:0 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTW
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Beitar Yavne	4:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Tzeirei Tira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWW

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