Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 15

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Kiryat Gat		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.55	5.9
	1.41	4.66	5.85	Watch
	1.35	4.4	7.5
	1.44	4.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	4.47 ↓ (4.62)	6.19 ↓ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
64.9%

Draw
20.4%

Nordia Jerusalem
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nordia Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Kiryat Gat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ashram E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Hadad G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 14).

Kiryat Gat is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nordia Jerusalem's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kiryat Gat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kiryat Gat is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Kiryat Gat will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kiryat Gat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiryat Gat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Nordia Jerusalem	5	0	0	5	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.01.26	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	4:3 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Beitar Yavne	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.01.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Dimona	0:2 ✺
31.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
06.02.20	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:0
04.10.19	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem	1:3
Israeli State Cup
30.10.18	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem	2:5 ET

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