Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 10

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.05
	1.81	3.45	4.09	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.06
	1.78	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.78)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	4.05 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
50.1%

Draw
27.5%

Nordia Jerusalem
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Elmaliach L. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Balta Y. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Zohar O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 13).

Recent performances by M Kiryat Malakhi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nordia Jerusalem has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nordia Jerusalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, M Kiryat Malakhi is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, M Kiryat Malakhi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, M Kiryat Malakhi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5:0 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0 ✺
16.10.25	Beitar Yavne - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWL
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.11.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Beitar Yavne	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:3 ✺
31.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	4:2 ✺
10.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Tzeirei Tira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
07.01.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1
06.02.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	1:4

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