Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 21

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad		Tzeirey Um El Fahem

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.1	2.28
	2.79	3.11	2.36
	2.84	3.3	2.28	Watch
	2.97	3.3	2.27
	2.85	3.1	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (4.53)	3.18 ↓ (3.66)	2.29 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
31.8%

Draw
28.6%

Tzeirey Um El Fahem
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

25%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

24.7%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad's performance.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tzeirey Um El Fahem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirey Um El Fahem than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tzeirey Um El Fahem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Tzeirey Um El Fahem Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. M Nujeidat Ahmad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tzeirey Um El Fahem will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Gavarin Y. ⚽,
43', 🟥,
45+4', 1 - 1, Abu Ahmed M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Tzeirey Um El Fahem is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, M Nujeidat Ahmad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, M Nujeidat Ahmad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	6	1	1	4	7:11	-4	4
18	Tzeirey Um El Fahem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - MS Tira	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WTWLL
- Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	MS Tira - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
18.10.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0
18.02.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:0
20.09.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	0:6
15.03.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:0
22.12.23	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:0

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Tzeirey Um El Fahem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide