Match Info

Date: 22 September 2020, Tuesday


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.25
	11	5.25	1.3
	11	5.5	1.3
	11	5.4	1.23
	10.39	5.13	1.32
	11	5	1.25
	9.5	5.35	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.7 ↑ (7.07)	5.3 ↑ (4.6)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.8%

Draw
17.7%

Red Bull Salzburg
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

20.3%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

11.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-36.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	2.5%	87.5%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (140 of 160 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.38% – 92.62%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salzburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Salzburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Salzburg is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
UEFA Champions League
16.09.20	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Dinamo Brest	1:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
12.09.20	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
30.08.20	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.20	Sūduva Marijampolė - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:3 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
22.08.20	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLWW
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
19.09.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	4:1 ✺
13.09.20	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	1:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
09.09.20	Bregenz - Red Bull Salzburg	0:10 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Türkgücü München	3:0 ✺
25.08.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWT

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