Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Red Bull Salzburg		Milan

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.8
	3.80	3.90	1.85
	4.2	3.7	1.88
	4.03	3.97	1.82
	3.97	3.91	1.84	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.95)	3.85 ↓ (3.87)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
23.9%

Draw
24.6%

Milan
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.4%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.4%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Red Bull Salzburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Red Bull Salzburg - Milan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Salzburg has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Milan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Salzburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Milan is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Salzburg has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

AC Milan: 7.57% Salzburg: 1.23%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Levski Sofia - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
11.09.26	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
06.09.26	St. Pölten - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Milan - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Lazio - Milan	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Juventus - Milan	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.11.22	Milan - Red Bull Salzburg	4:0
06.09.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	1:1

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