Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.55
	2.3	3.75	2.6
	2.31	3.82	2.76
	2.31	3.82	2.61
	2.2	3.6	2.6
	2.34	3.7	2.6
	2.23	3.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (3.22)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	2.62 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
40.4%

Draw
24.7%

Dorking Wanderers
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

24.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macclesfield Town's performance.

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macclesfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorking Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Macclesfield is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dorking is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Macclesfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
09.01.24	Matlock Town - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Macclesfield Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
01.01.24	Warrington Rylands - Macclesfield Town	2:3 ✺
26.12.23	Macclesfield Town - Hyde United	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
06.01.24	Dorking Wanderers - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Oxford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Dorking Wanderers - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Eastleigh - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Dorking Wanderers - Woking	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English National League North
10.10.26	Macclesfield Town - South Shields	✺
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
10.10.26	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	✺

Macclesfield Town - Dorking Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide