Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Dorking Wanderers		Woking

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	3.6	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.61	4.09	1.92
	3.43	4.02	1.98
	3	3.5	2
	3.54	3.6	1.92
	3.55	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.06)	3.7 ↑ (3.42)	1.91 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
26.5%

Draw
25%

Woking
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.5%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Woking's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Woking, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dorking Wanderers - Woking Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dorking will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Woking will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dorking: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 16. Carter C. 5. Craig T. 37. Francomb G. 22. Fuller B. (C) 20. Gallagher D. 19. Hollis H. 11. McShane J. 18. Moore L. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.	1. Andre A. (G) 16. Akinola O. 10. Amond P. 3. Casey J. (C) 4. Cuthbert S. 17. Kellerman J. 11. Lewis D. 2. Moss D. 37. Osew P. 18. Oyeleke E. 6. Wilkinson L.
Substitutes
. Brown J. 7. Muitt J. 24. Ottaway H. 2. Philpott I. 10. Rutherford A.	20. Bradshaw Z. 14. Browne R. 24. Ince R. 21. Odusina T. 29. Pavey A.

Preview

Recent matches Dorking is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Woking has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Woking will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dorking won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorking won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	3:0 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Fylde - Dorking Wanderers	3:3 ✺
18.11.23	Dorking Wanderers - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Gateshead - Dorking Wanderers	6:0 ✺
04.11.23	Dorking Wanderers - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWLL
- Woking
English FA Trophy
12.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Woking	3:2 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Boreham Wood - Woking	4:2 ✺
21.11.23	Woking - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Woking - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Oxford City - Woking	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.08.23	Woking - Dorking Wanderers	2:0
07.04.23	Dorking Wanderers - Woking	1:2
25.10.22	Woking - Dorking Wanderers	3:3

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