Match Info

African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Moi International Sports Centre (Nairobi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 5, SuperSport Maximo 360
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6
Australia	01:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Cameroon	16:00	CRTV Sports, Media Sport Info
Canada	11:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Finland	18:00	Veikkaus TV
France	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Indonesia	22:00	beIN Connect
Kenya	18:00	KBC Channel 1
Laos	22:00	beIN Connect
Madagascar	18:00	MATV
Malaysia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	23:00	beIN Connect
Republic Of The Congo	—	Tele Congo
Singapore	23:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	17:00	SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 4
Thailand	22:00	beIN Connect
Uganda	18:00	FUFA TV, UBC TV
Usa	11:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Madagascar		Morocco

	1	X	2
	7	3.3	1.5	Watch
	6	3.5	1.63
	8.37	3.55	1.55
	40.00	11.95	1.04	Watch
	7.35	3.49	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.74 ↑ (5.39)	5.16 ↑ (3.54)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madagascar
7.7%

Draw
20.4%

Morocco
71.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

26.2%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

25.1%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madagascar's form might have worsened.

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morocco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madagascar than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madagascar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morocco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Madagascar - Morocco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Morocco will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Morocco will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramandimbisoa M. (G) 5. Ratsimbazafy H. 4. Randriamanampisoa N. (C) 3. Randrianirina H. 19. Rabearivelo B. 15. Randrianantenaina H. 8. Rafanomezantsoa L. C. CFFA 2. Randriamanampsioa N. Disciples 13. Razafimahatana M. 7. Manohantsoa F. 17. Ranaivoson J.	1. Al Harrar E. M. (G) Raja Casablanca 4. Louadni M. FAR Rabat 5. Khairi A. Berkane 7. Boulacsout M. Raja Casablanca 3. Bach A. FAR Rabat 21. Mehri Y. Berkane 26. Baba K. Difaa El Jadidi 24. Hrimat M. (C) FAR Rabat 17. Belammari Y. Raja Casablanca 10. Bougrine S. Raja Casablanca 9. Lamlioui O. Berkane
Substitutes
10. Andrianarimanana A. Fosa Juniors 12. Hasinirina O. Elgeco Plus 11. Rajaonarivelo R. 22. Rakotonandrasana R. 20. Rakotondraibe T. 25. Rakotoson M. 27. Ramahandrison T. N. 14. Ramamonjisoa O. 16. Randrianaivo T. (G) 28. Randrianjatovo P. 23. Ratsimbazafy M. (G) 18. Tolojanahary P.	13. Arrassi B. Raja Casablanca 23. Bouhra S. Wydad Athletic 11. El Kaabi Y. Berkane 25. El Mahraoui A. COD Meknes 16. Errahouli S. Olympique de Safi 27. Essadak H. Union Touarga 12. Ghanimi R. (G) FUS Rabat 28. Mchakhchekh M. Raja Casablanca 20. Moufid M. Wydad Athletic 8. Ouarkhane Alt K. FAR Rabat 18. Riahi I. Berkane 14. Souane A. FUS Rabat
Coaches
Rakotondrabe R.	Sektioui T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Manohantsoa F. ⚽, Razafimahatana M. (A),
17', Belammari Y. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Mehri Y. ⚽, Baba K. (A),
29', Manohantsoa F. 🟨,
30', Randrianantenaina H. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Lamlioui O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Randrianantenaina H. ↓, Andrianarimanana A. ↑,
46', Randriamanampsioa N. ↓, Rakotoson M. ↑,
46', Razafimahatana M. ↓, Rakotondraibe T. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Rakotondraibe T. ⚽, Manohantsoa F. (A),
79', Baba K. ↓, Errahouli S. ↑,
79', Bougrine S. ↓, Ouarkhane Alt K. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Lamlioui O. ⚽, Hrimat M. (A),
82', Lamlioui O. 🟨,
86', Ratsimbazafy H. ↓, Hasinirina O. ↑,
86', Mehri Y. ↓, Moufid M. ↑,
90', Lamlioui O. ↓, Souane A. ↑,
90', Khairi A. ↓, Arrassi B. ↑,
90+2', Ranaivoson J. ↓, Rajaonarivelo R. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', Moufid M. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Morocco is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Madagascar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madagascar
African Nations Championship
26.08.25	Madagascar - Sudan	1:0 ET ✺
22.08.25	Kenya - Madagascar	1:2 penalties ✺
16.08.25	Burkina Faso - Madagascar	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Madagascar - Central Africa	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Tanzania - Madagascar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWL
- Morocco
African Nations Championship
26.08.25	Morocco - Senegal	2:1 penalties ✺
22.08.25	Tanzania - Morocco	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	D.R. Congo - Morocco	1:3 ✺
14.08.25	Morocco - Zambia	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Kenya - Morocco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
19.01.23	Morocco - Madagascar	Madagascar awarded

Madagascar - Morocco