Match Info

African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 5
Andorra	16:30	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Cameroon	15:30	CRTV Sports
Canada	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Finland	17:30	Veikkaus TV
France	16:30	beIN Sports 1
Kenya	17:30	Gotv, KBC Channel 1
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Madagascar	17:30	MATV
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
South Africa	16:30	SABC Plus
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uganda	17:30	FUFA TV, UBC TV
Usa	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Madagascar		Sudan

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.7	2.35	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.35
	3.25	2.48	2.62	Watch
	3.4	2.56	2.58
	3.38	2.53	2.68	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.3
	3.45	2.75	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.04)	2.67 ↓ (2.82)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madagascar
28.3%

Draw
34.6%

Sudan
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

32.6%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The chances for Sudan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	12.5%	68.7%

Madagascar - Sudan Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Madagascar will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Sudan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sudan: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sudan will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramandimbisoa M. (G) 21. Rabemanantsoa R. AS Fanalamanga 4. Randriamanampisoa N. (C) 3. Randrianirina H. 19. Rabearivelo B. 2. Randriamanampsioa N. Disciples 8. Rafanomezantsoa L. C. CFFA 6. Rakotondrajoa A. 9. Razafimaro F. Elgeco Plus 13. Razafimahatana M. 12. Hasinirina O. Elgeco Plus	1. Abooja M. (G) 9. Awad Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 6. Simbo M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 4. Abaker A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 19. Tabanja A. 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 17. Alrashed M. Al-Merreikh 5. Walieldin Khidir (C) Al-Hilal Omdurman 18. Al-Bahli M. 24. Tia Asad M. 23. Musa H.
Substitutes
10. Andrianarimanana A. Fosa Juniors 7. Manohantsoa F. 11. Rajaonarivelo R. 20. Rakotondraibe T. 25. Rakotoson M. 14. Ramamonjisoa O. 17. Ranaivoson J. 16. Randrianaivo T. (G) 15. Randrianantenaina H. 5. Ratsimbazafy H. 23. Ratsimbazafy M. (G) 18. Tolojanahary P.	22. Abdalla F. Al-Hilal Omdurman 14. Abdalla M. 16. Al Fatih A. (G) Al-Merreikh 13. Al Misbah F. 7. Awad K. 10. Bakhakh M. 21. Madani M. (G) Al-Hilal Omdurman 2. Makeen M. Al-Merreikh 3. Saeed Ahmed M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 12. Zaid A.
Coaches
Rakotondrabe R.	Kwesi Appiah J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Tia Asad M. 🟨,
4', Rakotondrajoa A. ↓, Randrianantenaina H. ↑,
19', Randriamanampsioa N. 🟨,
32', Razafimahatana M. 🟨,
36', Simbo M. 🟨,
42', Randriamanampisoa N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Tia Asad M. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
65', Hasinirina O. ↓, Rajaonarivelo R. ↑,
65', Razafimahatana M. ↓, Rakotondraibe T. ↑,
69', Al-Bahli M. ↓, Zaid A. ↑,
75', Razafimaro F. 🟨,
79', Razafimaro F. 🟨,
81', Walieldin Khidir 🟨,
84', Alrashed M. ↓, Saeed Ahmed M. ↑,
90', Randrianirina H. ↓, Manohantsoa F. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
96', Simbo M. ↓, Makeen M. ↑,
104', Saeed Ahmed M. 🟨,
113', Rabemanantsoa R. 🟨,
116', 1 - 0, Rakotondraibe T. ⚽, Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (A),

Preview

Madagascar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sudan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sudan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Madagascar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madagascar
African Nations Championship
22.08.25	Kenya - Madagascar	1:2 penalties ✺
16.08.25	Burkina Faso - Madagascar	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Madagascar - Central Africa	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Tanzania - Madagascar	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Madagascar - Mauritania	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWLT
- Sudan
African Nations Championship
23.08.25	Sudan - Algeria	2:1 penalties ✺
19.08.25	Sudan - Senegal	0:0 ✺
12.08.25	Sudan - Nigeria	4:0 ✺
05.08.25	Congo - Sudan	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Sudan - South Sudan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
23.01.23	Sudan - Madagascar	0:3
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.18	Madagascar - Sudan	1:3
09.06.17	Sudan - Madagascar	1:3

Madagascar - Sudan