The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madura United 46%
Draw 28.4%
Barito Putera 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
27.1%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
21.2%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Barito Putera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madura United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barito Putera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Madura United - Barito Putera Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Barito Putera will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Harlan A. (G) 33. Araya K. 35. Abdillah H. 3. Monteiro P. 2. Sani A. 68. Rusadi A. 4. Wehrmann J. 95. Skrbic M. 10. Iran Junior 99. Ezzejjari Y. 11. Lulinha (C)
86. Tama S. (G) 2. Kaffa A. B. 4. Anderson Nascimento 36. Alves Renan 22. Sasongko N. 13. Pradana B. 26. Pora R. (C) 7. Madinda L. 5. Mier M. 8. Morelatto 99. Santoso R. B.
Substitutes
91. Ahmad A. 70. Angulo B. 45. Hidayat T. 18. Kemaluddin M. 24. Muslihuddin T. 44. Nurdiansyah 5. Palic K. 31. Pratama Y. 19. Putra H. 22. Sanjaya I. 30. Saputra M. (G) 36. Syah I.
25. Doucoure L. 98. Eksel R. 17. Ferdiansyah 85. Firly M. 59. Hendrawan W. (G) 6. Infantrie T. 27. Mahendra I. 77. Moon C. 9. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 31. Murilo 14. Nurzaidin N. 18. Siringo N.
Coaches
Basuki R.
Darmawan R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Alves Renan ⚽, Pora R. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Monteiro P. ⚽, Lulinha (A),
45+3', Pora R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Santoso R. B. ↓, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↑,
48', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 🟨,
50', 1 - 2, Mier M. ⚽, Pora R. (A),
57', Rusadi A. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
57', Sani A. ↓, Nurdiansyah ↑,
65', Kaffa A. B. ↓, Mahendra I. ↑,
65', Pradana B. ↓, Nurzaidin N. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Morelatto ⚽,
71', Skrbic M. ↓, Putra H. ↑,
74', Morelatto ↓, Murilo ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Mier M. (A),
83', Sasongko N. ↓, Firly M. ↑,
84', Abdillah H. ↓, Ahmad A. ↑,
90+3', Mier M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 4, Lulinha ⚽, Iran Junior (A),
90+6', Mahendra I. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Madura United won 4.
Recent matches Madura United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barito Putera is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Madura United will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Madura United won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 41:17 (average 2.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Madura United won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29:8 (average 3.2:0.9).
India
Indonesia
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Harlan A. (G) 
Monteiro P. 
Wehrmann J. 
Skrbic M. 
Iran Junior 
Ezzejjari Y. 
Madinda L. 
Mier M. 
Angulo B. 
Palic K. 
Doucoure L. 
Moon C. 
Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 
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