The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madura United 40.4%
Draw 25.5%
Bali United Pusam 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30%
26.6%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
26.2%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madura United's performance.
Bali United Pusam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bali United Pusam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madura United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bali United Pusam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Madura United - Bali United Pusam Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bali United will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Madura United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Diky M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 6. Ruxi 24. Muslihuddin T. 5. Palic K. 4. Wehrmann J. (C) 10. Iran Junior 77. Alesandro F. 9. Junior Brandao
1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 7. Goppel T. 2. Ferrari J. 4. Arel K. 5. Adi B. 18. Kadek Agung 14. Receveur T. (C) 17. Yachida T. 41. Jaya I. 9. Kopitovic B. 47. Arjuna R.
Substitutes
25. Afrisal R. 23. Emerson Souza 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 99. Kusuma A. 7. Nufiandani A. 19. Riquelme 12. Rizki F. 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P. 37. Wehrmann J.
33. Andhika M. 55. Made T. 93. Mahendra A. 77. Meilana Y. 44. Panji P. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 16. Rizky Dwi 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 31. Yusron D. (G)
Coaches
Basuki R.
Jansen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Iran Junior ⚽, Alesandro F. (A),
44', Adi B. ↓, Andhika M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Andhika M. 🟨,
54', Junior Brandao (Penalty Awarded),
63', Arel K. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
65', Muslihuddin T. ↓, Sasongko N. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Junior Brandao (Penalty Awarded),
74', Jaya I. 🟨,
80', Alesandro F. ↓, Emerson Souza ↑,
80', Kadek Agung ↓, Made T. ↑,
80', Arjuna R. ↓, Rizky Dwi ↑,
80', Junior Brandao ↓, Riquelme ↑,
80', Jaya I. ↓, Rahmat ↑,
90+4', Iran Junior ↓, Ilhamsyah ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 3.
Madura United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bali United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Madura United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
Indonesia
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Diky M. (G) 
Monteiro P. 
Ruxi 
Palic K. 
Wehrmann J. (C) 
Iran Junior 
Yachida T. 
Kopitovic B. 
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