The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madura United 44.9%
Draw 29%
Semen Padang 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
29.4%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.5%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Madura United - Semen Padang Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Semen Padang will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Madura United: 38.8% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Madura United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Madura United (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Diky M. (G) 2. Sasongko N. 3. Monteiro P. 95. Mendonca 6. Ruxi 17. Sitanggang P. 5. Palic K. 4. Wehrmann J. 11. Lulinha (C) 25. Afrisal R. 99. Kusuma A.
1. Augusto A. (G) 8. Ariansyah R. 3. Guntara L. 24. Meneses A. (C) 12. Simanjuntak S. 16. Matos P. 63. Wahyudi R. 30. Wakaso A. 15. Juliansyah F. 9. Stewart C. 88. Maulana I.
Substitutes
87. Balotelli 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 18. Kemaluddin M. 24. Muslihuddin T. 7. Nufiandani A. 44. Nurdiansyah 12. Rizki F. 68. Rusadi A. 30. Saputra M. (G) 28. Vedhayanto K. 37. Wehrmann J.
25. Afandi Z. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 86. Oropa A. 99. Putra F. (G) 14. Saputra D. 20. Saputra H. 31. Setiawan R. 41. Triyanto F.
Coaches
Biasi Parreira C. E.
Antonic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lulinha ⚽, Afrisal R. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Mendonca ⚽, Wehrmann J. (A),
15', Palic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 3 - 0, Wehrmann J. ⚽, Lulinha (A),
56', 3 - 1, Stewart C. ⚽,
59', Kusuma A. ↓, Balotelli ↑,
59', Afrisal R. ↓, Nufiandani A. ↑,
60', Maulana I. ↓, Oropa A. ↑,
65', Sasongko N. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
66', Juliansyah F. ↓, Afandi Z. ↑,
70', Sasongko N. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Balotelli (Penalty Awarded),
79', 5 - 1, Lulinha ⚽,
80', Simanjuntak S. ↓, Triyanto F. ↑,
80', Wahyudi R. ↓, Setiawan R. ↑,
84', Lulinha ↓, Wehrmann J. ↑,
84', Sitanggang P. ↓, Muslihuddin T. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Madura United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
Indonesia
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Diky M. (G) 
Monteiro P. 
Mendonca 
Ruxi 
Palic K. 
Wehrmann J. 
Wakaso A. 
Stewart C. 
Balotelli 
Antonic D. 
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