Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Indomilk Arena (Tangerang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Dewa United		Madura United

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.18	5.7	11	Watch
	1.21	6.4	12.66
	1.28	5.61	8.78	Watch
	1.19	5.7	12.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.45)	5.85 ↑ (4.59)	11.16 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dewa United
76%

Draw
15.8%

Madura United
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.1%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dewa United's performance.

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madura United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dewa United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madura United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Dewa United - Madura United Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dewa United will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dewa United: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Dewa United (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Dewa United (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dewa United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Dewa United (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Stevens S. (G) 12. Nurviat R. 14. Fatari B. 2. Kuipers N. 97. Febriansyah E. 28. Messidoro A. 8. Jaja 11. Marukawa T. 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 5. Lilipaly S. 39. Alex	30. Saputra M. (G) 6. Ruxi 3. Monteiro P. 95. Mendonca 45. Hidayat T. 24. Muslihuddin T. 5. Palic K. 4. Wehrmann J. (C) 87. Balotelli 31. Pratama Y. 9. Gryshyn V.
Substitutes
20. Bagaskara S. 37. Ballah A. 41. Cassio Scheid 4. Johnathan 9. Mbaga P. 1. Natshir M. (G) 6. Numberi T. 3. Prasetyo W. 23. Setiawan A. 27. Struick R. 10. Vikri E.	77. Alesandro F. 27. Azhar S. (G) 26. Harlan A. (G) 36. Ilhamsyah 18. Kemaluddin M. 99. Kusuma A. 7. Nufiandani A. 42. Ramzy F. 68. Rusadi A. 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P. 37. Wehrmann J.
Coaches
Riekerink J. O.	Vera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Kambuaya R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pratama Y. ↓, Nufiandani A. ↑,
46', Lilipaly S. ↓, Vikri E. ↑,
63', Muslihuddin T. ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
63', Gryshyn V. ↓, Alesandro F. ↑,
68', Kambuaya R. ↓, Mbaga P. ↑,
72', Nurviat R. ↓, Prasetyo W. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Wehrmann J. ⚽, Nufiandani A. (A),
79', Fatari B. ↓, Bagaskara S. ↑,
84', Hidayat T. ↓, Sasongko N. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Nufiandani A. ⚽, Wehrmann J. (A),
90+3', Febriansyah E. 🟨,
90+4', Sasongko N. 🟨,
90+6', Balotelli ↓, Ramzy F. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 1.

Dewa United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Madura United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Dewa United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dewa United is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dewa United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dewa United
Indonesian Super League
26.09.25	Dewa United - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Dewa United - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Arema - Dewa United	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Dewa United - Persija Jakarta	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Dewa United - Persik Kediri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWLW
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
25.09.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Madura United	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Java United - Madura United	4:1 ✺
12.09.25	Madura United - Bhayangkara	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Madura United - Persita Tangerang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
15.02.25	Madura United - Dewa United	3:1
21.09.24	Dewa United - Madura United	3:3
25.04.24	Dewa United - Madura United	2:2
22.10.23	Madura United - Dewa United	1:4
02.02.23	Dewa United - Madura United	1:1
19.08.22	Madura United - Dewa United	1:0
Club Friendly
16.09.20	Madura United - Dewa United	4:1

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