Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Conselheiro Galvao (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...


	Madureira		Águia de Marabá

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4
	1.92	3.15	4.15
	1.91	3.26	4.09
	2.19	3	3.38	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.9
	1.87	3.44	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	3.91 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madureira
47.8%

Draw
28.5%

Águia de Marabá
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48%

30%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Madureira - Águia de Marabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Madureira will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Águia de Marabá will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Madureira (votes: 1 - 50%). Águia de Marabá (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Neguete (G) 2. Caua Coutinho 21. Everton 8. Fuba 9. Geovane Maranhao 4. Jean 3. Marcao 6. Matheus Juliao 19. Rodrigo Lindoso 11. Vinicius Balotelli 10. Wallace Camilo	12. Xandao (G) 2. Bruno Limao (C) 6. Cassio 3. Dede 7. Erick Bahia 10. Felipe Para 14. Kukri 9. Otacilio Marcos 4. Wendell 11. Weslley 5. Willian Daltro
Substitutes
5. Adriano 17. Arthur 22. Celsinho 13. Daniel Felipe 20. Fashanu M. 15. Filipe Claudino 14. Hericles 18. Isaias 7. Jaco 16. Julio Cesar 23. Wendel Lessa 31. Yan (G)	20. Diogo Carlos 18. Gustavo Vintecinco 1. Jerfesson (G) 19. Kaique 13. Luiz 22. Para S. 17. Silva A. 8. Tiago Bagagem 16. Wendell

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Otacilio Marcos 🟨,
31', Otacilio Marcos ↓, Gustavo Vintecinco ↑,
42', Geovane Maranhao 🟨,
44', Kukri 🟨,
45+11', 0 - 1, Felipe Para ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Everton ↓, Fashanu M. ↑,
59', Felipe Para 🟨,
59', Kukri ↓, Kaique ↑,
59', Felipe Para ↓, Tiago Bagagem ↑,
60', Fuba ↓, Adriano ↑,
60', Vinicius Balotelli ↓, Isaias ↑,
60', Wallace Camilo ↓, Hericles ↑,
72', Erick Bahia ↓, Diogo Carlos ↑,
72', Weslley ↓, Luiz ↑,
80', Geovane Maranhao ↓, Jaco ↑,
81', Jean 🟨,
90+2', Adriano 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Madureira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madureira EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.03.26	Madureira - Flamengo	0:8 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Madureira - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.26	Flamengo - Madureira	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Baré - Madureira	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
13.02.26	Madureira - Boavista	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW
- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
28.02.26	Castanhal - Águia de Marabá	1:0 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Independência	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
18.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Remo	1:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Cametá	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Capitão Poço - Águia de Marabá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWT

Madureira - Águia de Marabá