Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Flamengo		Madureira

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.75	13
	1.14	7.3	15.5
	1.11	7	15.15
	1.14	7.37	17.76
	1.14	6	17
	1.1	6.75	17
	1.15	7.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.18)	7.1 ↑ (7)	15.77 ↑ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Flamengo
81.2%

Draw
13%

Madureira
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

13.3%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Flamengo - Madureira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Flamengo (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 6. Ayrton Lucas 44. Vitao 13. Danilo (C) 18. de la Cruz N. 52. Evertton Araujo 19. Plata G. 15. Carrascal J. 11. Everton 9. Pedro	12. Neguete (G) 2. Caua Coutinho 3. Marcao 4. Jean 6. Matheus Juliao 8. Fuba 19. Rodrigo Lindoso (C) 21. Everton 10. Juninho 7. Jaco 9. Geovane Maranhao
Substitutes
26. Alex Sandro 51. Daniel Sales 10. de Arrascaeta G. 81. Douglas Telles 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 20. Lucas Paqueta 7. Luiz Araujo 5. Pulgar E. 1. Rossi A. (G) 16. Samuel Lino 2. Varela G.	5. Adriano 17. Arthur 22. Celsinho 13. Daniel Felipe 15. Filipe Claudino 18. Isaias 16. Julio Cesar 20. Ricardo Oliveira 11. Vinicius Balotelli 14. Wallace Camilo 23. Wendel Lessa 31. Yan (G)
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Andrade T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Caua Coutinho 🟨,
16', Jaco 🟨,
20', Plata G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
46', Carrascal J. ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, de la Cruz N. ⚽,
57', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
58', de la Cruz N. ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
59', Everton ↓, Isaias ↑,
59', Jaco ↓, Vinicius Balotelli ↑,
64', Marcao 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
79', Matheus Juliao ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
79', Geovane Maranhao ↓, Filipe Claudino ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.

Flamengo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Madureira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:4. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:0. (average 2.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Recopa Sudamericana
19.02.26	Lanús - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.02.26	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.02.26	Flamengo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	7:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWT
- Madureira EC
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Baré - Madureira	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
13.02.26	Madureira - Boavista	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Volta Redonda - Madureira	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Madureira - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Madureira - Portuguesa RJ	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.01.25	Madureira - Flamengo	1:1
02.03.24	Flamengo - Madureira	3:0
18.01.23	Madureira - Flamengo	0:0
16.02.22	Madureira - Flamengo	1:2
05.04.21	Madureira - Flamengo	1:5
08.02.20	Flamengo - Madureira	2:0
19.03.19	Madureira - Flamengo	0:2

Upcoming Matches