Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Madureira U20		Flamengo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.73
	3.9	3.6	1.72
	4.05	3.58	1.71
	4.46	3.6	1.68
	3.9	3.6	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.85)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madureira U20
22.4%

Draw
25%

Flamengo RJ U20
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

25.1%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

24.6%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madureira U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Flamengo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Madureira U20 - Flamengo RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Madureira U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Flamengo U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Flamengo U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Madureira U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Madureira U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
26.09.25	Boavista SC U20 - Madureira U20	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Madureira U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	4:4 ✺
13.09.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Madureira U20	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Madureira U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLT
- Flamengo RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
27.09.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Boavista SC U20	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio U20
31.03.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Madureira U20	4:2
Brazilian Carioca U20
08.06.24	Madureira U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:2
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
27.03.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Madureira U20	3:2

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