Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Boavista SC U20		Madureira U20

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.88
	3.61	3.61	1.81
	3.70	3.75	1.82	Watch
	3.91	3.48	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.77)	3.56 ↑ (3.29)	1.83 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista SC U20
24.7%

Draw
25.5%

Madureira U20
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista SC U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boavista SC U20's form might have worsened.

Madureira U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madureira U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista SC U20 than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boavista SC U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madureira U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Boavista SC U20 - Madureira U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).

Boavista SC U20 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Madureira U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boavista SC U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Boavista SC U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
20.09.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Boavista SC U20	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Boavista SC U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Boavista SC U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Boavista SC U20	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Boavista SC U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
20.09.25	Madureira U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	4:4 ✺
13.09.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Madureira U20	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Madureira U20	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Madureira U20 - Bangu U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
20.07.24	Boavista SC U20 - Madureira U20	1:2

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